← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 17, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cittadella win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Federico Casolari · Cittadella |
| 8' | ⚽ | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 23' | 🟨 | Yayah Kallon · Salernitana |
| 23' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Salernitana |
| 32' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Andrea Cecchetto · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Flavius Daniliuc · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Matteo Angeli · Salernitana |
| coach days | 47.00 | 1143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| elo | 1459.14 | 1410.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.37 | -14.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | — |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |