← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Blair
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 59% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Rotherham win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.75 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Rotherham −0.75 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Dru Yearwood · Rotherham |
| 11' | ⚽ | Taylor Allen · Wycombe |
| 17' | ⚽ | Jack Holmes · Rotherham |
| 22' | ⚽ | Jack Holmes · Rotherham |
| 25' | ⚽ | Bradley Fink · Wycombe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Wycombe |
| 76' | 🟨 | Harry Gray · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | — · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 15 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 274.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1491.55 | 1346.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.48 | -9.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| league points | 60.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| solidity v1 | -1.01 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 24.85 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.26 | 1.15 |