← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Barnsley win | 24% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Barnsley +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Adama Sidibeh · Stockport |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 52' | ⚽ | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Fiorini · Stockport |
| 90' | ⚽ | — · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 274.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1439.10 | 1535.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.42 | -15.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 59.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 1.52 |
| solidity v1 | -0.50 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 26.68 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.18 | 2.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 2.25 |