← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Laflin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 47% | 1.96 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon +0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Huddersfield +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ryan Johnson · AFC Wimbledon |
| 32' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 57' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 66' | ⚽ | George Sebine · Huddersfield |
| 72' | ⚽ | Alfie May · Huddersfield |
| 77' | 🟨 | Steve Seddon · AFC Wimbledon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 21 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Cherry Red Records Stadium |
| coach days | 274.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1367.45 | 1459.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.51 | -4.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.35 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| league points | 53.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.70 | 0.05 |
| solidity v1 | -1.43 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.28 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 2.24 |