← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 43% | 2.15 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Steve Seddon · AFC Wimbledon |
| 49' | 🟨 | Isaac Ogundere · AFC Wimbledon |
| 52' | 🟨 | Myles Hippolyte · AFC Wimbledon |
| 60' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alistair Smith · AFC Wimbledon |
| 88' | 🟨 | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antwoine Hackford · AFC Wimbledon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 114.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1456.17 | 1353.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.99 | -44.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 56.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.42 | -1.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 2.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 0.92 |