← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Brooks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 39% | 2.32 |
| Rotherham win | 34% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Rotherham +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Adegboyega · Rotherham |
| 15' | 🟨 | Denzel Hall · Rotherham |
| 25' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 47' | ⚽ | Daniel Kyerewaa · Reading |
| 80' | 🟨 | Paddy Lane · Reading |
| 87' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jamal Baptiste · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Aesseal New York Stadium |
| coach days | 24.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1344.27 | 1494.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.81 | -23.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| league points | 40.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | -0.44 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.82 | 26.56 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.46 |