← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.90 |
| Wycombe win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Lincoln −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Jack Moylan · Lincoln |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sonny Bradley · Lincoln |
| 53' | ⚽ | Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Lincoln |
| 57' | ⚽ | Josh Scowen · Wycombe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ivan Varfolomeev · Lincoln |
| 74' | ⚽ | Declan Skura · Wycombe |
| 83' | ⚽ | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Junior Quitirna · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 28 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | LNER stadium |
| coach days | 267.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1669.11 | 1495.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.91 | -32.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| league points | 97.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.66 |
| solidity v1 | 1.14 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 27.55 |
| state index | 0.87 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.01 | 1.71 |