← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Mansfield win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mansfield −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Lucas Akins · Mansfield |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jon Russell · Mansfield |
| 43' | ⚽ (og) | Murray Wallace · Mansfield |
| 51' | ⚽ | Regan Hendry · Mansfield |
| 60' | ⚽ | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 64' | 🟨 | Oliver Irow · Mansfield |
| 65' | ⚽ | Oliver Irow · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcus McGuane · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days | 24.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1480.41 | 1476.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.03 | 3.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 64.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 29.59 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.29 | 1.92 |