← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Leyton Orient win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Leyton Orient +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Will Dennis · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | Oliver Casey · Blackpool |
| 45' | 🟨 | James Morris · Leyton Orient |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | William Forrester · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days | 267.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1458.05 | 1431.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.34 | -38.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 54.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.65 | -0.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 25.77 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.11 |