← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 66% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.25 |
| Peterboro win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −1.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Stockport −1.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 74% | 1.29 |
| Under | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Harry Leonard · Peterboro |
| 28' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 45' | 🟨 | Harley Mills · Peterboro |
| 48' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 53' | 🟨 | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
| 57' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Stockport |
| 64' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 11 |
| 11 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 267.00 |
| 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1625.14 | 1492.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.99 | -42.98 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 71.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | -0.97 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.54 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.26 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.71 | 1.44 |