← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Jackson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Mansfield win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Mansfield −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Ben Osborn · Stockport |
| 42' | 🟨 | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kyle Knoyle · Mansfield |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ryan Sweeney · Mansfield |
| 63' | ⚽ | Tyler Roberts · Mansfield |
| 71' | 🟨 | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 82' | 🟨 | Frazer Blake-Tracy · Mansfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 263.00 |
| 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1639.37 | 1542.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.27 | 4.19 |
| eye test v1 | 1.14 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| league points | 71.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.90 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |