← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Dowle
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 55% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Exeter win | 22% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter +0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Stockport +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Malik Mothersille · Stockport |
| 16' | 🟨 | Adetayo Edun · Stockport |
| 29' | ⚽ | Josh Stokes · Stockport |
| 35' | ⚽ | Reece Cole · Exeter |
| 70' | ⚽ | — · Exeter |
| 77' | ⚽ | Odin Bailey · Stockport |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jack Bycroft · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 8 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 17.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1397.52 | 1561.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.88 | 36.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| league points | 47.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.04 |
| solidity v1 | -1.87 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 26.32 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.72 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.11 |