← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 55% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Huddersfield win | 21% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huddersfield −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Thierry Gale · Bolton |
| 11' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 14' | ⚽ | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 51' | 🟨 | George Johnston · Bolton |
| 52' | ⚽ | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 53' | 🟥 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bolton |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Huddersfield |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 66' | ⚽ | David Kasumu · Huddersfield |
| 77' | ⚽ | Johnny Kenny · Bolton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johnny Kenny · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Radinio Balker · Huddersfield |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Cissoko · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days |
| 260.00 |
| 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.23 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1614.32 | 1541.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.25 | 0.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.56 |
| league points | 73.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| travel km | — | 51.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 2.08 |