← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Barnsley win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Bradford +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟥 | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
| 33' | 🟨 | Will Swan · Bradford |
| 50' | ⚽ | Eoghan O'Connell · Barnsley |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jenson Metcalfe · Bradford |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jonathan Bland · Barnsley |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nick Powell · Bradford |
| 76' | 🟨 | Reyes Cleary · Barnsley |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Marc Roberts · Bradford |
| 90' | ⚽ | Leo Farrell · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 260.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1445.56 | 1468.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.20 | -6.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 55.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | -0.46 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 30.38 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.02 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.50 |