← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Rotherham win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.75 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Rotherham −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
| 41' | 🟨 | Jamal Baptiste · Rotherham |
| 52' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 63' | ⚽ | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 64' | 🟨 | Fraser Murray · Wigan |
| 72' | 🟨 | Brandon Cover · Rotherham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days |
| 103.00 |
| 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1516.31 | 1420.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.15 | -39.65 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 52.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.25 | -1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |