← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A Humphries
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Huddersfield win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Cardiff +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alex Robertson · Cardiff |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dylan Lawlor · Cardiff |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ryan Wintle · Cardiff |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sean Roughan · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joel Colwill · Cardiff |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yousef Salech · Cardiff |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days |
| 13.00 |
| 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 10.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| elo | 1541.64 | 1605.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.59 | 6.99 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 1.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 62.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 16.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 24.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 1.73 |
| solidity v1 | -0.83 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| travel km | — | 261.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 2.43 |