← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Reeves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Stevenage win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Bradford −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 61' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 64' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 64' | 🟨 | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 73' | 🟨 | Charlie Goode · Stevenage |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dan Sweeney · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days | 253.00 | 740.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1480.62 | 1472.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.67 | 17.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 71.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.82 | 2.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 30.02 | 28.59 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.68 |