← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Bradford win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bradford −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | André Vidigal · Wycombe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
| 52' | ⚽ | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 66' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
| 68' | ⚽ | Aden Baldwin · Bradford |
| 80' | 🟨 | Harrison Ashby · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kayden Jackson · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jenson Metcalfe · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 248.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1521.49 | 1467.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.54 | -11.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 59.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | -0.03 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 29.65 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 0.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 0.96 |