← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Blackpool win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Stevenage −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 66' | ⚽ | Harvey White · Stevenage |
| 86' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tom Bloxham · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟨 | James Husband · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days |
| 735.00 |
| 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1540.62 | 1512.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.58 | 19.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 61.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -1.27 |
| solidity v1 | 1.73 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.51 | 2.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 1.47 |