← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Northampton win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Northampton +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | James Carragher · Wigan |
| 15' | ⚽ | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Jon Guthrie · Wigan |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jake Evans · Northampton |
| 83' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 88' | ⚽ | Will Aimson · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days |
| 95.00 |
| 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1403.97 | 1492.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.73 | 21.33 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| state index | -1.40 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |