← EFL League One 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Stockport win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bolton −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Johnny Kenny · Bolton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Adama Sidibeh · Stockport |
| 51' | ⚽ | Adetayo Edun · Stockport |
| 79' | ⚽ (og) | Ben Osborn · Bolton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adama Sidibeh · Stockport |
| 89' | 🟨 | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟥 | Louie Barry · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 248.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1542.74 | 1549.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.81 | 20.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.85 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| league points | 69.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.59 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 27.70 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.90 | 1.03 |