← EFL League One 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Mansfield win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Doncaster −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Mansfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Matthew Pearson · Doncaster |
| 50' | ⚽ | Rhys Oates · Mansfield |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jon Russell · Mansfield |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jay McGrath · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 245.00 |
| 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 5.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1528.58 | 1538.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.17 | 21.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 50.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 9.66 | 12.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |