← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Drysdale
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 64% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Port Vale win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −1 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Port Vale −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Port Vale |
| 69' | ⚽ | Connor Taylor · Wycombe |
| 72' | 🟨 | Rhys Walters · Port Vale |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days |
| 239.00 |
| 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1601.71 | 1461.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.65 | -14.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 56.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 62.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.20 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.38 |