← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 24, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Barlow
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 55% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Port Vale win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Doncaster −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Elijah Campbell · Doncaster |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jamie Sterry · Doncaster |
| 89' | 🟨 | Robbie Gotts · Doncaster |
| 90' | 🟨 | Glenn Middleton · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 235.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1426.44 | 1358.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.41 | -1.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 62.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.82 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |