← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Huddersfield win | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Plymouth −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Sean Roughan · Huddersfield |
| 18' | 🟨 | Conor Hazard · Plymouth |
| 18' | 🟨 | Bali Mumba · Huddersfield |
| 26' | ⚽ | Cameron Humphreys · Huddersfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Owen Dale · Plymouth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Owen Dale · Plymouth |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 73' | ⚽ | — · Plymouth |
| 82' | 🟨 | Josh Feeney · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Xavier Amaechi · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Park |
| coach days | 232.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1534.79 | 1474.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.38 | 5.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 56.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.13 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 27.22 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.55 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 1.66 |