← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 37% | 2.45 |
| Barnsley win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Barnsley +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Robbie Gotts · Doncaster |
| 64' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Elliot Lee · Doncaster |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tennai Watson · Barnsley |
| 74' | 🟨 | Thimothee Lo-Tutala · Doncaster |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 232.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1460.76 | 1413.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.79 | -3.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 50.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.91 |
| solidity v1 | -0.28 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 2.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.27 |