← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Jackson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Peterboro win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Peterboro −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Myles Hippolyte · AFC Wimbledon |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ryan Johnson · AFC Wimbledon |
| 50' | 🟨 | Callum Maycock · AFC Wimbledon |
| 66' | 🟨 | Kyrell Lisbie · Peterboro |
| 67' | ⚽ | — · Peterboro |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jimmy Morgan · Peterboro |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Dornelly · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Cherry Red Records Stadium |
| coach days | 232.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1407.29 | 1457.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.29 | -7.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.20 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 23.36 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |