← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Parkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 19% | 4.75 |
| Blackpool win | 12% | 7.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cardiff −1.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under | 39% | 2.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Perry Ng · Cardiff |
| 64' | 🟨 | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟨 | William Fish · Cardiff |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bailey Peacock-Farrell · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Reuell Walters · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cardiff City Stadium |
| coach days | 232.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1578.97 | 1418.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.14 | -27.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -1.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| league points | 76.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.71 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 24.76 | 27.32 |
| state index | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 259.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |