← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Wigan win | 29% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Barnsley −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 45' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 50' | 🟨 | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
| 56' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 57' | 🟨 | Owen Moxon · Wigan |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 88' | 🟨 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 88' | 🟥 | Callum Wright · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Charlie Lennon · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 228.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1463.61 | 1421.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.41 | 5.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |