← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 71% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Northampton win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −1.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Stockport −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Josh Stokes · Stockport |
| 11' | 🟨 | Isaac Olaofe · Stockport |
| 42' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 58' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 228.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1520.98 | 1338.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -45.15 | -44.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 56.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.45 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |