← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Russell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Rotherham win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rotherham −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Kyrell Lisbie · Peterboro |
| 40' | ⚽ | — · Peterboro |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | — · Peterboro |
| 70' | 🟨 | Cian Hayes · Peterboro |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jamal Baptiste · Rotherham |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | — · Peterboro |
| 81' | ⚽ | Archie Collins · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days |
| 228.00 |
| 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1521.28 | 1460.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.43 | 1.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 44.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| league points | 46.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |