← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 39% | 2.32 |
| Huddersfield win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Lincoln +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Huddersfield |
| 20' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Josh Feeney · Lincoln |
| 40' | 🟨 | Josh Feeney · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lynden Gooch · Huddersfield |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tom Bayliss · Lincoln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lee Nicholls · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryley Towler · Lincoln |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ryley Towler · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days | 228.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1471.11 | 1649.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.78 | 50.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.75 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 56.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.76 | 1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 26.90 |
| state index | 0.04 | 1.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -2.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 2.56 |