← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 57% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Mansfield win | 19% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Mansfield −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Victor Adeboyejo · Mansfield |
| 31' | 🟨 | Kyle Knoyle · Mansfield |
| 37' | 🟨 | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 59' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jon Russell · Mansfield |
| 72' | ⚽ | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
| 85' | 🟨 | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthew Pennington · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Mansfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| coach days | 228.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 5.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1576.29 | 1525.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.25 | -4.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 64.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |