← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 52% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Port Vale win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Port Vale −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Dajaune Brown · Port Vale |
| 46' | ⚽ | Niall Ennis · Blackpool |
| 59' | ⚽ | Rhys Walters · Port Vale |
| 72' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 74' | 🟨 | Martin Sherif · Port Vale |
| 76' | 🟨 | Liam Gordon · Port Vale |
| 81' | ⚽ | Reuell Walters · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tyler Magloire · Port Vale |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| coach days |
| 228.00 |
| 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1484.81 | 1463.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.31 | -0.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.55 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 38.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.70 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.90 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |