← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Humphries
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Wigan win | 28% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wigan +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Caylan Vickers · Wigan |
| 31' | 🟨 | Will Aimson · Wigan |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ibou Touray · Bradford |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 78' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 82' | 🟨 | Raphael Rodrigues · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harrison Ashby · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 72.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1471.64 | 1593.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.47 | -0.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -1.48 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 65.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.68 | 0.88 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.61 |