← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 51% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Port Vale win | 22% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Port Vale +0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Port Vale |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Port Vale |
| 87' | 🟨 | Dajaune Brown · Port Vale |
| 89' | 🟨 | Murray Wallace · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days | 225.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1349.48 | 1472.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.29 | -16.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.04 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.45 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 26.40 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.23 |