← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Blackpool win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Blackpool −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Owen Bailey · Doncaster |
| 42' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Blackpool |
| 60' | 🟨 | Niall Ennis · Blackpool |
| 64' | 🟨 | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 83' | ⚽ | Hakeeb Adelakun · Doncaster |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ashley Fletcher · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 89' | 🟥 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Doncaster | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Eco-Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 225.00 |
| 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1496.60 | 1493.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.01 | -10.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 40.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -1.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 2.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.16 |