← EFL League One 2025-26 · Wed, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 49% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Port Vale win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Port Vale +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Bobby Pointon · Bradford |
| 51' | 🟨 | Max Power · Bradford |
| 61' | 🟨 | Elijah Campbell · Port Vale |
| 66' | ⚽ | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
| 85' | 🟨 | Connor Hall · Port Vale |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 33 |
| 1 | On target | 13 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Port Vale | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vale Park |
| coach days |
| 222.00 |
| 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1476.14 | 1580.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.72 | -3.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 27.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 11.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |