← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Oldham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Wigan win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Wigan +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 40' | ⚽ | Aribim Pepple · Plymouth |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ronan Curtis · Plymouth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Caleb Watts · Plymouth |
| 71' | ⚽ | Caleb Watts · Plymouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 68.00 | 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1421.91 | 1510.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.55 | 51.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 38.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | -1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.80 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -2.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |