← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
| 44' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charlie Goode · Stevenage |
| 55' | ⚽ | Dominic Ballard · Leyton Orient |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kaelan Casey · Leyton Orient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Theodore Archibald · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days |
| 708.00 |
| 221.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1544.20 | 1493.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.12 | -27.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| league points | 54.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.85 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |