← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Leyton Orient win | 22% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bradford −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Josh Koroma · Leyton Orient |
| 33' | ⚽ | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ollie O'Neill · Leyton Orient |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sean Clare · Leyton Orient |
| 54' | 🟨 | Favour Fawunmi · Leyton Orient |
| 59' | 🟨 | Matthew Pennington · Bradford |
| 61' | 🟨 | Curtis Tilt · Bradford |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tyreik Wright · Bradford |
| 67' | 🟨 | Max Power · Bradford |
| 75' | 🟥 | Aden Baldwin · Bradford |
| 79' | ⚽ | Antoni Sarcevic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bradford | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Valley Parade |
| 86' | 🟨 | Antoni Sarcevic · Bradford |
| 87' | 🟨 | Paul Mullin · Bradford |
| coach days | 218.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1574.57 | 1499.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.22 | -34.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 58.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 1.09 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.10 |