← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Wycombe win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bolton −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 41' | ⚽ | Luke Harris · Wycombe |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bolton |
| 56' | 🟨 | Taylor Allen · Wycombe |
| 58' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Caolan Boyd-Munce · Wycombe |
| 76' | 🟨 | Johnny Kenny · Bolton |
| 87' | 🟨 | Cauley Woodrow · Wycombe |
| 88' | ⚽ | Rúben Rodrigues · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Corey Blackett-Taylor · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Corey Blackett-Taylor · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 218.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1544.55 | 1545.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.92 | 20.30 |
| eye test v1 | 1.37 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 61.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.42 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -1.00 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 27.06 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.09 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.58 | 2.28 |