← EFL League One 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Yates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Barnsley win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | ⚽ | Aaron Morley · Wycombe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Eoghan O'Connell · Barnsley |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dan Casey · Wycombe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Will Norris · Wycombe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Vimal Yoganathan · Barnsley |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jamie Mullins · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 19 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days | 214.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1462.55 | 1535.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.68 | 20.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |