← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: C. Breakspear
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Wigan win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marcus Harness · Huddersfield |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jensen Weir · Wigan |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sean Roughan · Huddersfield |
| 88' | 🟨 | Matthew Smith · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 58.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1409.48 | 1477.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.19 | -4.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| league points | 34.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.34 |
| solidity v1 | -1.89 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.13 | 27.49 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 59.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.69 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.84 | 1.37 |