← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Reading win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reading +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Derrick Williams · Reading |
| 68' | ⚽ | Matthew Pennington · Bradford |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sean Patton · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Paddy Lane · Reading |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matt Ritchie · Reading |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1584.88 | 1582.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.34 | 0.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 48.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.73 |
| solidity v1 | -1.19 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 270.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.03 | 1.42 |