← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 39% | 2.35 |
| Barnsley win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Barnsley +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 20' | ⚽ | Dylan Levitt · Leyton Orient |
| 49' | 🟨 | Adam Phillips · Barnsley |
| 53' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 62' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Azeem Abdulai · Leyton Orient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Brisbane Road |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1517.33 | 1513.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.05 | -10.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.67 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.54 |
| league points | 36.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.13 |
| solidity v1 | -0.47 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.34 |