← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Wigan win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Wigan −0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 5' | ⚽ | Brad Hills · Stockport |
| 11' | ⚽ | Joe Taylor · Wigan |
| 37' | 🟨 | Steven Sessegnon · Wigan |
| 41' | ⚽ | Adama Sidibeh · Stockport |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dara Costelloe · Wigan |
| 60' | 🟨 | Steven Sessegnon · Wigan |
| 60' | 🟥 | Steven Sessegnon · Wigan |
| 82' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟥 | Maleace Asamoah · Wigan |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days |
| 204.00 |
| 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1638.22 | 1484.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.28 | -32.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |