← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Barnsley win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Barnsley −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Georgie Gent · Barnsley |
| 42' | ⚽ | David McGoldrick · Barnsley |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ryan Ledson · Huddersfield |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ryan Hardie · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | John Smit |
| coach days | 204.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1534.23 | 1520.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.06 | 11.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.02 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -0.05 |
| solidity v1 | 0.83 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.44 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.28 |