← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Eley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Blackpool win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Blackpool −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Blackpool |
| 66' | ⚽ | Eoin Toal · Bolton |
| 73' | ⚽ | Hayden Coulson · Blackpool |
| 77' | ⚽ | George Honeyman · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟨 | Reuell Walters · Blackpool |
| 85' | ⚽ | Mason Burstow · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thierry Gale · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Bowler · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 15 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 204.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1531.11 | 1442.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.92 | -25.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 57.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 6.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.61 |
| solidity v1 | 0.23 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.30 | 25.93 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 42.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.48 |