← EFL League One 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 36% | 2.57 |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bradford +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| AFC Wimbledon +0 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | James Tilley · AFC Wimbledon |
| 35' | 🟨 | Myles Hippolyte · AFC Wimbledon |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marcus Browne · AFC Wimbledon |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mathew Stevens · AFC Wimbledon |
| 76' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Bradford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Cherry Red Records Stadium |
| coach days | 204.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1497.04 | 1594.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.26 | 5.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 1.13 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 39.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.64 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.40 |